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Solazyme

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DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

doewap schreef op 21 juni 2015 09:18:

www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/0...
Chatsko is de man die de analyses doet waar Ridder van droomt.
Hij is een bekend criticaster, maar heeft de afgelopen jaren natuurlijk wel gelijk gekregen.
As you can see, the bar for production levels out of Clinton and Moema needed to enable profitable operations is lowered every year, although you can forget about attaining profitability in 2016. While it's possible for Solazyme to notch $170 million in I&I revenue in 2018 (or, continuing the same analysis, just $124 million in 2020), especially if food ingredients gain traction, investors cannot be sure it can lower production costs enough to achieve a gross profit margin of 50%. Why not?

On the 2014 third-quarter conference call, management admitted it failed to reach its own cost targets in the initial ramp-up of Clinton, stating, "We will focus on running the plant for a small number of higher-value products at the right volume level to manage both cash burn and our way down the cost curve." More recently, management disclosed that ongoing delays at the flagship manufacturing facility in Moema, Brazil, are partially derived from problems efficiently extracting oils from algae cells after fermentation.

Given the new platformwide focus on high-value products -- most of which are encapsulated and don't require extraction (two of three AlgaVia food ingredients; Encapso and Flocapso drilling lubricants) -- it's fair to question whether this is a platformwide issue. Why else would Clinton be affected by extraction issues thousands of miles away at Moema?

Platformwide extraction issues could plague the economics for the foreseeable future, perhaps permanently, if real-world extraction at commercial scale doesn't prove as robust as earlier extrapolations from smaller-scale trials. Investors may feel uncomfortable with that potential reality and opt to continue to give Solazyme the benefit of the doubt. But like it or not, there are many more examples of companies that fail to reach their expected production costs than examples of those that succeed, especially when pioneering novel platforms. Unfortunately, the evidence to date supports the less comfortable scenario.

What does it mean for investors?
This is a tricky situation. While many investors are waiting for Moema to come on line and for ramp-up to resume at Clinton, neither event guarantees that Solazyme will reach companywide profitability. Worse yet, if production costs remain at uneconomical levels or permanently higher than expected, then attempting to ramp up production could result in even greater losses for longer periods of time.

Then again, successfully lowering production costs while simultaneously securing large sales agreements could make the recent challenges an afterthought in several short years. However, I think that's much more difficult to achieve than many realize. For that reason, investors should have conservative expectations for the ability of revenue growth to provide a timely path to profitability. This will take quite some time -- very likely, much longer than anyone expects.
DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

doewap schreef op 21 juni 2015 09:18:

www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/0...

Chatsko is de man die de analyses doet waar Ridder van droomt.

Hij is een bekend criticaster, maar heeft de afgelopen jaren natuurlijk wel gelijk gekregen.
Grappig genoeg is deze 'droomanalist' het eens met mijn stelling dat Solazyme een praktisch hopeloos geval is.

Dit jaar wordt al het kasgeld van Solazyme er doorheen gejaagd. Er blijft dan over een zwaar verliesgevend bedrijfje met torenhoge schulden en dit kan dus onmogelijk goed aflopen.

Het management stemt 'met de voeten' en verkoopt zo snel mogelijk al z'n (optie)aandelen.
DeZwarteRidder
0
Platformwide extraction issues could plague the economics for the foreseeable future, perhaps permanently, if real-world extraction at commercial scale doesn't prove as robust as earlier extrapolations from smaller-scale trials. Investors may feel uncomfortable with that potential reality and opt to continue to give Solazyme the benefit of the doubt. But like it or not, there are many more examples of companies that fail to reach their expected production costs than examples of those that succeed, especially when pioneering novel platforms. Unfortunately, the evidence to date supports the less comfortable scenario.
DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

DeZwarteRidder schreef op 21 juni 2015 10:34:

Platformwide extraction issues could plague the economics for the foreseeable future, perhaps permanently, if real-world extraction at commercial scale doesn't prove as robust as earlier extrapolations from smaller-scale trials. Investors may feel uncomfortable with that potential reality and opt to continue to give Solazyme the benefit of the doubt. But like it or not, there are many more examples of companies that fail to reach their expected production costs than examples of those that succeed, especially when pioneering novel platforms. Unfortunately, the evidence to date supports the less comfortable scenario.
Geldt nog meer voor Gevo.
[verwijderd]
0
Ga je jezelf quoten op iets dat je gekopieerd hebt uit een artikel dat je niet zelf gevonden hebt...?

New levels of low
DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

doewap schreef op 21 juni 2015 16:52:

Ga je jezelf quoten op iets dat je gekopieerd hebt uit een artikel dat je niet zelf gevonden hebt...?

New levels of low
Past perfect bij Gevo.......
DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

nobahamas schreef op 24 juni 2015 16:33:

Gaat lekker vandaag, is er een trigger?
Ja, vandaag is de dag dat het totale verlies van Solazyme (sinds de oprichting) de HALF MILJARD heeft gepasseerd....!!

Dit wordt natuurlijk gevierd met een koersstijging....!!

Totale geschatte verlies voor dit jaar en volgend jaar is ca 2,30 USD per aandeel.
DeZwarteRidder
0
SAN DIEGO, June 24, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP ("Robbins Geller") (http://www.rgrdlaw.com/cases/solazyme/) today announced that a class action has been commenced in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California on behalf of purchasers of Solazyme, Inc. ("Solazyme") (NASDAQ: SZYM) securities during the period between February 27, 2014 and November 5, 2014 (the "Class Period"), including pursuant and/or traceable to either of Solazyme's two registered public offerings on March 27, 2014 (the "Offerings").

The complaint alleges that during the Class Period and in the Registration Statements and Prospectuses for the Offerings, defendants made materially false and misleading statements and/or failed to disclose adverse information about Solazyme's construction progress, development and production capacity at its renewable oils production facility located in Moema, Brazil (the "Moema Facility"). Specifically, the complaint alleges defendants' statements were false and misleading because they failed to disclose that the Moema Facility was experiencing construction delays due to insufficient access to electricity and steam utility services, and that these challenges would prohibit the Moema Facility from scaling its capacity production as projected. As a result of these false and misleading statements and/or omissions, Solazyme securities traded at artificially inflated prices during the Class Period.
DeZwarteRidder
0
On May 5, 2014, Solazyme reported operational results for the first quarter of 2014. During the related conference call, Solazyme's CEO stated that, rather than being "online" with "everything functioning as expected," as defendants had previously claimed, the Moema Facility was instead "experiencing intermittent power and steam availability," and consequently had failed to produce its first commercial product. Then, after the markets closed on November 5, 2014, Solazyme acknowledged significant and wide-ranging construction delays at the Moema Facility. On that day, the Company revealed for the first time that it would "narrow [its] production focus to smaller volumes of higher value products at . . . Moema" and would be "prioritizing cash management and product margin over a rapid capacity ramp." On this news, the price of the Company's stock declined $4.35 per share, or 58%, to close at $3.14 per share on November 6, 2014, and the market price of Solazyme's Notes declined by $235.00 per Note, or 30%, to close at $540.00 per Note on November 7, 2014, the next session in which the Notes traded.

Plaintiff seeks to recover damages on behalf of all purchasers of Solazyme securities during the Class Period, including pursuant and/or traceable to the Offerings (the "Class").

Robbins Geller, with 200 lawyers in ten offices, has extensive experience in prosecuting investor class actions, including actions involving financial fraud, and represents U.S. and international institutional investors in contingency-based securities and corporate litigation. The firm has obtained many of the largest securities class action recoveries in history and was ranked first in both the amount and number of shareholder class action recoveries in ISS's SCAS Top 50 report for 2014
[verwijderd]
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Geweldige vondst Stormvogel, dank.

Onverwacht genoegen dat SolaDiesel weer eens in het nieuws is.

Over het algemeen is de high volume, low margin markt der brandstoffen niet interessant of haalbaar. Ik vraag me dan ook af of het veel zal doen.

Er staat wel 'now commercial' bij SolaDiesel...
[verwijderd]
0
Oh, en Ridder, we hebben hier al eens iets over gezegd, maar voor jou nog een keer: als er een sterke daling in welke koers dan ook is, dan duiken de 'law firms' erop als duiven op koude patat.

Als ik ergens wel NIET wakker van lig, dan zijn het firma's als Pomeranz of Lifshitz & Miller die een onderzoek starten. Ze vragen een bijdrage van die zielige slachtoffers en laten niets meer van zich horen.

Als Solazyme iets verkeerd gedaan heeft, dan zal het daarvoor bloeden. Jij mag vertellen wat dat dan is.

Aan onderzoek hang ik geen waarde. De bazen van die firma's gaan short SZYM voordat ze hun persbericht uitsturen.
DeZwarteRidder
0
quote:

doewap schreef op 30 juni 2015 10:18:

Oh, en Ridder, we hebben hier al eens iets over gezegd, maar voor jou nog een keer: als er een sterke daling in welke koers dan ook is, dan duiken de 'law firms' erop als duiven op koude patat.
Als ik ergens wel NIET wakker van lig, dan zijn het firma's als Pomeranz of Lifshitz & Miller die een onderzoek starten. Ze vragen een bijdrage van die zielige slachtoffers en laten niets meer van zich horen.

Als Solazyme iets verkeerd gedaan heeft, dan zal het daarvoor bloeden. Jij mag vertellen wat dat dan is.
Aan onderzoek hang ik geen waarde. De bazen van die firma's gaan short SZYM voordat ze hun persbericht uitsturen.
Je bent weer slecht op de hoogte van de realiteit: dit soort advocatenfirma's vragen geen bijdrage maar werken op 'no cure no pay' basis.

Bijna altijd wordt er een schikking getroffen omdat immers procederen voor beide partijen veel te kostbaar is.
Aleen een faillissemnet kan voorkomen dat Solazyme moet betalen, want het is wel duidelijk dat Solazyme informatie heeft achtergehouden.
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