Global oil market well supplied, wary of 2019 surplus - OPEC
Reuters reported that OPEC sees the oil market as well supplied and is wary of creating a glut next year, the group’s secretary-general said, suggesting producers are in no rush to expand a June agreement that raises output. Oil prices have rallied this year on expectations that US sanctions on Iran will strain supplies by lowering shipments from OPEC’s third-largest oil producer. Brent crude LCOc1 last week reached USD 86.74, the highest since 2014. OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo, speaking at the Oil & Money conference in London, said there were many non-fundamental factors influencing the oil market that were beyond oil producers’ control.
He said that “The market has been reacting to perceptions of a possible supply shortage. The market remains well supplied.” “The projections for 2019 clearly show a possible rebuild of stocks,” he said of the supply and demand balance for next year.
OPEC separately updated its oil supply and demand forecasts on Thursday, cutting demand estimates for next year due to economic challenges such as trade disputes and volatile emerging markets, and pointing to excess supply.
One of the factors boosting prices, according to analysts and some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, has been the decision by US President Mr Donald Trump to reimpose sanctions on Iran.
Mr Trump has demanded that OPEC cool prices by pumping more oil. Barkindo, asked whether Trump’s criticism of OPEC was unfair, said: “The market is currently being largely driven by decisions taken elsewhere – outside OPEC, outside non-OPEC.”
OPEC and allied producers – not including the United States – agreed in June to return to 100 percent compliance with output cuts that began in January 2017, after months of underproduction in Venezuela and elsewhere pushed adherence above 160 percent.
OPEC’s report said its own production rose by 132,000 barrels per day in September to 32.76 million bpd, the highest this year, although producers have yet to increase supply enough to reach 100 percent compliance.
Barkindo, responding to a question whether producers needed to go beyond full delivery of the agreement, said they were taking it step by step.
Source : Reuters