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Aperam naar 50 euro in 2015?

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bezinteergebelegt
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bezinteergebelegt
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Zo, in de naveiling nog ff naar DL graag en dan morgen het echte daalvuurwerk. We gaan het zien en beleven, kan de puts nu toch niet meer sluiten.
Barbiedoll
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Na een stevige opmars begin van de week weer een drama dag. Zelfs lager dan sectorgenoot Outokumpu (welke van een -15% uiteindelijk na een -5% ging). We zullen het zo zien...
voda
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Third quarter 2015 results

Luxembourg, November 5, 2015



Aperam (referred to as “Aperam” or the “Company”) (Amsterdam, Luxembourg, Paris: APAM and NYRS: APEMY), announced today results for the three-month period ended September 30, 2015

Timoteo Di Maulo, CEO of Aperam, commented:

“As expected, the third quarter was marked by seasonality and decline in nickel price. However, Aperam was able to offset most of these impacts thanks to the agility and the resilience of its business model.

For the fourth quarter, we remain cautious given the current economic environment but we are confident we will continue to deliver on the Leadership Journey®5 and the Top Line strategy.

Looking ahead, we see stainless steel fundamentals improving in our markets and we are confident in the ability of Aperam to generate sustainable cash returns. Therefore, we are happy to reinstate dividend.”



Highlights
•Health and Safety frequency rate 2 of 1.2x in Q3 2015 compared to 0.8x in Q2 2015.
•Shipments of 455 thousand tonnes in Q3 2015, a 6% decrease compared to shipments of 486 thousand tonnes in Q2 2015.
•EBITDA 3 of USD 108 million in Q3 2015, compared to EBITDA of USD 155 million in Q2 2015.
•Basic earnings per share of USD 0.40 in Q3 2015 and USD 1.79 for year to date September 2015 compared to USD 0.97 for year to date September 2014.
•Cash flow from operations amounted to USD 65 million in Q3 2015 compared to USD 78 million in Q2 2015.
•Net debt 4 of USD 419 million as of September 30, 2015, representing a gearing of 19% compared to a net debt of USD 454 million as of June 30, 2015.

Prospects
•EBITDA in Q4 2015 is expected to be comparable to EBITDA in Q3 2015.
•Net debt is expected to decrease in Q4 2015.



Financial policy
•Aperam restates a base dividend of USD 1.25/share (subject to AGM approval), which is anticipated to progressively increase over time, as the company continues to improve its sustainable profitability benefiting from its strategic actions.

Financial results analysis

Sales in the third quarter of 2015 decreased by 12% at USD 1,113 million compared to USD 1,264 million in the second quarter of 2015. Shipments in the third quarter of 2015 decreased by 6% to 455 thousand tonnes compared to 486 thousand tonnes in the second quarter of 2015, mainly due to the seasonal effects in Europe.

EBITDA was USD 108 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to EBITDA of USD 155 million in the second quarter of 2015. The continuing progress of the Leadership Journey®5 and the Top Line strategy as well as the agility of the Brazilian operations enabled to compensate most of the negative impacts of the traditional seasonality in Europe, the current economic environment, the recent decline in the nickel price and the tightness in raw material market conditions. The Leadership Journey® has continued to progress over the quarter and has contributed a total amount of USD 466 million to EBITDA since the beginning of 2011.

Depreciation and amortization expense in the third quarter of 2015 was USD 41 million.

Aperam had an operating income in the third quarter of USD 67 million compared to an operating income of USD 109 million in the previous quarter.

The Company recorded a loss from other investments of USD 6 million in the third quarter related to an impairment loss of USD 4 million booked on the minority stake it holds in Gerdau, a Brazilian steelmaker, and USD 2 million booked on the minority stake it holds in General Moly, a US molybdenum mining company.

Net interest expense and other financing costs in the third quarter of 2015 were USD 15 million, primarily related to financing costs of USD 6 million. Realized and unrealized foreign exchange and derivative losses were USD 7 million in the third quarter of 2015.

The Company recorded a net income of USD 31 million, inclusive of an income tax expense of USD 8 million, in the third quarter of 2015.

Cash flows from operations in the third quarter were positive at USD 65 million, despite a working capital increase of USD 43 million. CAPEX in the third quarter was USD 26 million.

As of September 30, 2015, shareholders’ equity was USD 2,225 million and net financial debt4 was USD 419 million (gross financial debt as of September 30, 2015 was USD 487 million, cash and cash equivalents were USD 68 million).

The Company had liquidity of USD 543 million as of September 30, 2015, consisting of cash and cash equivalents of USD 68 million and undrawn credit lines6 of USD 475 million.



Operating segment results analysis

Stainless & Electrical Steel

The Stainless & Electrical Steel segment had sales of USD 855 million in the third quarter of 2015. This represents a decrease of 17% compared to sales of USD 1,031 million in the second quarter of 2015. Shipments during the third quarter were 429 thousand tonnes. This is a decrease of 11% compared to shipments of 483 thousand tonnes in the previous quarter. The volume decrease was mainly due to the seasonal impact in Europe compared to the second quarter. Overall, average selling prices for the Stainless & Electrical Steel segment were lower for the quarter.

The segment had EBITDA of USD 94 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to USD 139 million in the second quarter of 2015. In South America, the optimisation of sales portfolio and the positive contribution of the Leadership Journey® together with a lower Brazilian Real compensated the weaker domestic market conditions in Brazil. In Europe, the impact of lower volumes and the tension on scrap prices was partly compensated by the continuous contribution of the Leadership Journey® and the Top Line strategy.

Depreciation and amortization expense was USD 34 million in the third quarter of 2015.

The Stainless & Electrical Steel segment had an operating income of USD 60 million during the third quarter of 2015 compared to an operating income of USD 100 million in the second quarter of 2015.


Services & Solutions

The Services & Solutions segment had a 10% decrease in sales during the quarter, from USD 569 million in the second quarter of 2015 to USD 510 million in the third quarter of 2015. In the third quarter of 2015, shipments were 187 thousand tonnes compared to 202 thousand tonnes in the previous quarter. The Services & Solutions segment had lower average selling prices during the period compared to the previous period.

The segment had EBITDA of USD 2 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to EBITDA of USD 14 million in the second quarter of 2015. The decline of EBITDA was due to the traditional seasonal impact in Europe and the negative stock effect resulting from the steep decline in nickel prices.

Depreciation and amortization expense was USD 4 million in the third quarter of 2015.

The Services & Solutions segment had an operating loss of USD 2 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to an operating income of USD 9 million in the second quarter of 2015.
voda
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Investor conference call

Aperam management will host a conference call for members of the investment community to discuss the third quarter 2015 financial performance at the following time:

Date

New York

London

Luxembourg


Thursday, Nov. 5, 2015

12:30 pm

5:30 pm

6:30 pm




The dial-in numbers for the call are: France (+33(0)1 70 48 01 66); USA (+1 212 444 0896); and international (+44(0)20 3427 1901). The participant access code is: 8443454.

A replay of the conference call will be available until November 11th, 2015: France (+33 (0)1 74 20 28 00); USA (+1 347 366 9565) and international (+44 (0)20 3427 0598). The participant access code is 8443454.



Contacts

Corporate Communications / Laurent Beauloye: +352 27 36 27 27

Investor Relations / Romain Grandsart: +352 27 36 27 36
voda
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Alloys & Specialties

The Alloys & Specialties segment had sales in the third quarter of 2015 of USD 125 million, representing a decrease of 20% compared to USD 157 million in the second quarter of 2015. Shipments in the third quarter of 2015 were down by 30% to 7 thousand tonnes compared to 10 thousand tonnes in the previous quarter. Shipments for year to date September 2015 at 27 thousand tonnes show a 4% improvement compared to year to date September 2014 at 26 thousand tonnes. Average selling prices decreased quarter over quarter.

The Alloys & Specialties segment achieved EBITDA of USD 9 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to USD 13 million in the second quarter of 2015. EBITDA was down in the third quarter compared to the second quarter primarily as a result of the seasonal impact in the third quarter. EBITDA for year to date September 2015 is at USD 36 million compared to year to date September 2014 at USD 47 million, mainly due to negative foreign exchange translation effects.

Depreciation and amortization expense in the third quarter of 2015 was USD 2 million.

The Alloys & Specialties segment had an operating income of USD 7 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to an operating income of USD 12 million in the second quarter of 2015.



New developments
•On November 5 2015, Aperam declared its financial policy to maximize the long term growth and sustainability of the company as well as the value accretion for its shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet. Aperam restates a base dividend of USD 1.25/share (subject to AGM approval), as the company continues to improve its sustainable profitability benefiting from its strategic actions. The company targets a NFD/EBITDA ratio of <1x (through the cycle). In the (unlikely) event that NFD/EBITDA exceeds 1x, the company will suspend the cash dividend. The dividend will be paid in four equal quarterly installments of US$0.3125 (gross) per share. The detailed dividend payment schedule will be published with the full year 2015 results and is expected to be similar to the previous dividend calendars.
mickey1399
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Volgens mij keurige cijfers, natuurlijk zijn de staalprijzen flink lager maar zij slagen er toch in om die schuld opnieuw verder te verlagen naar 419. Knap gedaan. Ik heb ze al, maar andere kunnen volgens mij rustig kopen en bewaren.
FM70
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Timoteo Di Maulo, CEO of Aperam, commented:

“As expected, the third quarter was marked by seasonality and decline in nickel price. However, Aperam was able to offset most of these impacts thanks to the agility and the resilience of its business model.

For the fourth quarter, we remain cautious given the current economic environment but we are confident we will continue to deliver on the Leadership Journey®5 and the Top Line strategy.

Looking ahead, we see stainless steel fundamentals improving in our markets and we are confident in the ability of Aperam to generate sustainable cash returns. Therefore, we are happy to reinstate dividend.”

Ziet er goed uit:
- dalende prijzen op kunnen vangen
- fundamentals en prijzen verbeteren
- dividend!

Morgen mooie rit omhoog!

[verwijderd]
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quote:

bezinteergebelegt schreef op 5 november 2015 18:09:

Ik heb alvast een plekje gezocht in het riool :-(
Heel Veel Sterkte my Friend!

Ciao!
[verwijderd]
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quote:

bezinteergebelegt schreef op 5 november 2015 18:09:

Ik heb alvast een plekje gezocht in het riool :-(
Daar heb jij sowieso wat mee, toch?

Ik ben geen Aperam-kenner, maar men verwachtte minder winst op kwartaal-basis en ik zie juist, netto-althans, duidelijk méér. Mogelijk eenmalige positieve posten? Schuldvermindering lijkt me sterker dan gedacht. Dividend is zeker prettig voor long.

Benieuwd wat de kenners er vanavond en morgen van zeggen. De kneus aller tijden geeft dan ook weer geluid (MT). De long-believers daarvan bevinden zich ook al tijden ter plaatse (riool) of onder een brug.
bezinteergebelegt
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quote:

Opus135 schreef op 5 november 2015 18:21:

[...]

Daar heb jij sowieso wat mee, toch?

Ik ben geen Aperam-kenner, maar men verwachtte minder winst op kwartaal-basis en ik zie juist, netto-althans, duidelijk méér. Mogelijk eenmalige positieve posten? Schuldvermindering lijkt me sterker dan gedacht. Dividend is zeker prettig voor long.

Benieuwd wat de kenners er vanavond en morgen van zeggen. De kneus aller tijden geeft dan ook weer geluid (MT). De long-believers daarvan bevinden zich ook al tijden ter plaatse (riool) of onder een brug.
Vanwege mijn beleggingsresultaten zwerf ik regelmatig door de afvoerbuizen der steden, en ben daar ook regelmatig in goed gezelschap. Maar dit had ik van Aperam niet verwacht, sterker nog, ben zwaar verrast, m.n. door terugkeer dividend en m.n. dat laatste zal er m.i. morgen voor zorgen dat ik word doorgetrokken op opening want nu dit bekend is moet het morgen toch met een mega gap up openen ? Een 32/33 lijkt me nu geen probleem. Aan de andere kant, met beleggers weet je het nooit maar ik ga toch maar een paar extra drankjes nemen vanavond, dan denk ik er wat minder aan :-)
bezinteergebelegt
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Trouwens, die 5,3% die nog short zit, zullen het nu morgen toch ook wel erg warm krijgen met deze cijfertjes en de terugkeer v.h. dividend ? Kan er wellicht nog een squeezje overheen komen.
[verwijderd]
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quote:

bezinteergebelegt schreef op 5 november 2015 18:35:

[...]

Vanwege mijn beleggingsresultaten zwerf ik regelmatig door de afvoerbuizen der steden, en ben daar ook regelmatig in goed gezelschap. Maar dit had ik van Aperam niet verwacht, sterker nog, ben zwaar verrast, m.n. door terugkeer dividend en m.n. dat laatste zal er m.i. morgen voor zorgen dat ik word doorgetrokken op opening want nu dit bekend is moet het morgen toch met een mega gap up openen ? Een 32/33 lijkt me nu geen probleem. Aan de andere kant, met beleggers weet je het nooit maar ik ga toch maar een paar extra drankjes nemen vanavond, dan denk ik er wat minder aan :-)
Verstandig. Mijn favoriete term is "meuk" vooral mbt aandelen die ik voor stijging heb aangekocht en niets doen of erger niets doen dan dramatisch dalen. Maar ook voor ellende waar ik financieel geen last van heb, zie aandeeltjes GoPro, Fagron, Ballast etc.etc.etc.

Als het goed gaat daarentegen werk ik met verkleiningen, zoals TomTom-etjes en tot vandaag Bammetjes......
gerrit 69
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quote:

gerrit 69 schreef op 5 november 2015 15:23:

Wat zijn de verwachtingen voor Aperam of durft niemand zijn vingers aan een eventuele voorspelling te branden.?
Een opsteker zou zijn als Aperam weer dividend gaat uitbetalen.

Toch een dividend aankondiging en dat geeft vertrouwen.
Aperam wil dat uitsmeren per kwartaal alleen weet ik niet hoeveel het dividend gaat worden want dat heb ik zo snel nergens kunnen lezen.
AMG was voor mij vandaag ook een meevaller hoewel de koers niet veel deed.
[verwijderd]
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quote:

gerrit 69 schreef op 5 november 2015 19:15:

[...]

Toch een dividend aankondiging en dat geeft vertrouwen.
Aperam wil dat uitsmeren per kwartaal alleen weet ik niet hoeveel het dividend gaat worden want dat heb ik zo snel nergens kunnen lezen.
AMG was voor mij vandaag ook een meevaller hoewel de koers niet veel deed.

1.25 dollar
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